In 1991, Russia signalled it wanted to join NATO. Boris Yeltsin, the first president of the new Russian state, called NATO membership a “long-term political aim” of his country. Yeltsin was echoing calls made a year earlier when Mikhail Gorbachev proposed the Soviet Union join the North Atlantic Alliance. By 1994, Russia had officially signed up to the NATO Partnership for Peace programme, a military-to-military cooperation initiative aimed at former Soviet bloc countries, which US President Bill Clinton described as a “track that will lead to NATO membership”.
However, Western countries never really took the idea of Russian NATO membership seriously. It’s possible they were suspicious of attempts to dilute the effectiveness of the alliance (the Soviet Union had tried to join NATO in 1954, likely indeed as a way to neuter the organisation). The Kremlin, however, was by the mid-1990s convinced that NATO expansion was an aggressive attempt to permanently undermine Russian security. Was the whole thing a missed opportunity? If NATO had seriously considered Russian membership (even as a long-term goal) might history have taken a very different path?
What do our readers think? We had a comment sent in from Yvetta, who raised the point that in the 1990s there was indeed a debate about whether Russia might one day join NATO. But that was then. In today’s world (post-Crimean annexation) is the idea of Russian membership of NATO totally absurd?
To get a reaction, we put this question to James Kirchick, an American journalist, visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution, and author of the book “The End of Europe: Dictators, Demagogues and the Coming Dark Age”. What would he say?
For another perspective, we put the same question to Leonid Gozman, a Russian liberal politician and President of the all-Russian public movement Union of Right Forces. How would he respond?
I think we must, MUST have Russia in NATO. Russia must be a member of NATO because Russia is a part of European civilisation. It’s a specific part of European civilisation – it’s Eastern Christianity – and there are many other specific things. But, as our prominent monarch Yekaterina the Great said, Russia is a European power. And Russia is really a European power, if you have ever been in Russia you will have seen our cities – some of them are beautiful and some of them are ugly, but they are European cities. Moscow and St. Petersburg are European cities…
So, NATO is not just ‘North Atlantic Treaty Organisation’. In my mind, NATO is a military alliance of European nations… So, from a [long-term] strategic point of view (not for now, because now we are closer to war than an alliance, unfortunately) we have a choice: either Russia is a member of NATO, or Russia is an enemy of Europe. Either, or. So, I prefer to see my country as a member of NATO.
Why is the idea of Russia joining NATO so far-fetched? Certainly, relations between Russia and the West haven’t been this strained since the Cold War. How did things get this bad? We had a comment from Maike who argues that NATO expansion is to blame. She thinks Russia was provoked into the annexation of Crimea by the possibility that Ukraine might one day join the EU and NATO.
How would Jame Kirchick respond?
Finally, what would Leonid Gozman say to the same question?
Could Russia ever join NATO? Why isn’t the possibility taken seriously? Let us know your thoughts and comments in the form below and we’ll take them to policymakers and experts for their reactions!
56 comments Post a commentcomment
Well, yes, someday, if:
– Russia bacomes a stable democracy
– Gets rid of most of teh corruption
– share common geostrategic goals and security intrests
– some set of common values
(So not in the next 20 to 30 years, if improvements begin today; similar to the question if turkey could joint the EU. Theoretically yes, but the current change and situation point the other way, and it yould take decades to fix it)
the thing preventing that: Putin and his elite who profit from the current system, and do not want to change anything about it (free elections and corruption), who need an exterior threat and some occupations to pump up national supprt.
Today, how stable democracy can be? Can you not see the “gilets jaunes”are destroying the stability of democracies all over the world?
well EU is even more corrupted and it’s still a Nato country
Year 2050: China GDP50trillion,EU 40trillion, USA 40trillion, Russia 3 trillion. I think that’s not to unrealistic. There is actually ONLY ONE obvious possibility if the Russians don’t want to become China’s equivalent of Belarus…They gonna pick the other one^^
Yes for real peace. Russia should join
Sure, when Putin et al aren’t in charge, and the atmosphere in Russia moves away from neo-imperialist nationalism.
they were actually offered the option, but they rejected it in the 90s :) The situation is quite different now, though
Russia also acked to join around 2006/7 but the U.S. vetoed it
Not AT Oll 😂
why not
Between 2001 and 2005 we were very close to it.
We built a new buildings at NATO HQ Brussels to put offices for the permanent Russian delegation
The world has changed. Ever since the 911 and financial crisis broke out from the Wall Street, the US is in a deep crisis and the US is losing its hegemony, NATO with Russia would definitely be adding voice to Europe and US influence and control over Europe would be diminish. So, it is too late to talk about including Russia in NATO for the US is declining and it is highly suspicious to all potential competitor including a united Europe, starting from the current EU.
There was a council formed to foster cooperation on matters of mutual interest & suggestions have been periodically floated for enhancing this…even to the extent of russia formally joining…though mostly hypothetically…..cooperation was suspended following russia’s agression in ukraine and annexation of crimea…now the 2 sides are very much in oposite camps and will remain so whilst Putin maintains Russia’s policy stance…
Impossible, war economy needs instability.
The US NEEDS an enemy, absolutely correct. After the collapse of USSR the US could have invested in Russia the same way they did with Germany and Japan after WW2 to promote prosperity and democracy within Russia, but of course they didn’t and instead provoked Russia with NATO expansion.
Yes, it could, but the russian leadership would lose its greatest asset; the threat. They need to project the threat to stay in power.
I think you are confusing it with the USA…
I don’t think the US and its leadership use “the threat” to the same degree as in Russia, but they absolutely use it.
well this applies through out Europe! Every state requires a threat in order to protect itself…
No, I don’t see that. There are only a few countries who have that particular culture as the ruling ideology.
Gustav then you are clearly missing the point if you could name me a number of states in the EU that is not using this as their basis in fortifying their military, that would be great?
Peace is not good for the military industrial complex.
Without Russia, there is no “adversary”, no fear, no excuse to waste billions on new weapons.
The military industrial complex will never allow it.
Oh, we still have China, and the taliban!
Russia IS the military industrial complex, all they manufacture is weapons and vodka 👍
But the military industrial complex would still have the middle east and China. They aren’t as scary but if they do their propaganda right they could get the general populace to fear them.
Putin would not be able to stay in power without the NATO threat/enemy, so no
What for?
NATO is not Europe. It is America led Europe, a way to submit Europe to American control, I do not see why Russia needs to join NATO. If Russia has to join Europe, it has to be a new union built exclusively for Europe states and for European interests.
Russia’s reunion with Europe would make Europe a very powerful region which the US unilateralism would not be able to sustain. So, the US would try its best to exclude Russia. However, there are some voices seeking to line up with Russia in the US confrontation with China. Again, this serves only for US interest not that of Europe. When China is weakening, Russia would be the next one that the US would be dealing with. If Russia is weakening again, Europe and the whole world would be submitted totally to US hegemony. As we have seen what the US is doing now, I think no one would believe again a “Paix America” can be a fair world order.
We must only agree to Russia joining NATO if they promise they will base most of their naval forces in the ports of the three Baltic nations.They must also agree to base a large tank division in the centre of Poland,and also move the bulk of the red army back into their old bases in Eastern Germany.
Honestly if anyone is stupid enough to to go along with this idea is it any wonder that leaders like Putin and Trump think we are pathetic and look down on us with contempt
Nato exists to counter Russia. That is why Nato countries will never allow Russia to join. Europe and Russia must come to an agreement about security, even if the United States will absolutely hate it. It’s simple geography, you can walk from Brussels to Moscow, you can’t walk from Brussels to Washington. Europe needs Russia as a partner and Russia is deeply dependent on Europe as a consumer of Russian products. To make it very simple, Russia has nukes, France has Nukes, Britain has Nukes, uncle Sam has nukes everybody has nukes. Now you can either chose to be enemies with the nuclear armed country that has the power to destroy you or you can make a deal, doesn’t it make sense to make a deal?
ISIS is more likely to join NATO than Russia.
Utter nonsense.
Not before cleaning and this is not en easy game to come out of the dirty tunnel
They’ve never been able to accept others as equal, only as vassals, and react only if they’re met by superior force.
if Russia join NATO who will buy weapons again? will be bankrupt war industry worldwide
Could Russia join NATO? Russia? Nato? You guys are still drunk? Could ISIS join NATO? Let’s debate! Come one! Why not? Just wondering, just asking, just like nothing is happening. Russia. NATO. Lmao. You made my day.
well, you’re an idiot)), compared the country (whose government is captured by Putin, who simply wants to steal money and buy houses in England and France) and an Islamist organization that wants to destroy non-Muslims
Talking about that only after their retrait from the occupied teritories in Ucraine ( Crimeea), Georgia and Republic of Moldova ( Transnistria).
Russia can return everything except Crimea, well then these countries must kill resistance in these regions, because their residents are not eager to go back
B Yeltsin was usualy drunk
NO
It’s against the purpose
and EU. This is unavoidable. But as with Turkey will take another couple of generations. 2060-2070es
Anyone suggesting this must be joking.
why not then russia coud be like the Tory party and fight with itself
Russia, Putin as president, does not want to belong to the NATO, has always turned its back on Europe and even more I do not see him being an ally of the US.
would be very interesting a NATO summit between Trump and Putin
Of course … as soon as it gives up ist Great Power Status ;) and maybe not under the name of NATO but rather as part of a future European Army.
If Russia to join NATO then Russia won’t attack or wage the war on its NATO allies since it’s a member of it and cannot attack because its troops and NATO troops are stationed in all over European countries it would be like as if shooting your self in a foot, but the USA do not want Russia to be part of NATO or a friendly country in EU, USA wants EU to view Russia as an enemy because the USA makes money by selling weapons to NATO like f35 and other, if Russia join NATO then USA needs to leave NATO thats the only way it will ever happen, USA will never be allies with Russia never, EU can and probably will be in near future, but USA won’t, USA hates competition and can’t afford Russia to be a super power, look USA in debt 21trillion Russia has few billion, Petro dollar is falling, most Americans live on borrow money they live a lie, they don’t have anything except debt, USA economy is build on debt
How? NATO’s objective was to counter Warsaw pack. Now that is gone, only Russia remains. Now NATO’s objective is to crush Russia.
What will NATO gain? By allowing Russia to join, NATO invalidates its own existence. Also, America would just veto against it.
Why would Russia trust us? We promised not to expand, we expanded, making them nervous. We put American weapons on its doorstep and let them exercise near the boarder then call Russia aggressive.
Honestly, Iraq is more likely to join NATO than Russia do.
Other way round, Warsaw pact was a counter against NATO, because it was created after USSR’s offer to join NATO was declined.
Totally agree, I’m from small eastern Europe country and that aggressive behaviour of NATO make me to feel much more less safe..
and what prevents NATO from shifting its attention to China, North Korea and Islamic terrorists (here Russia’s help just does not hurt)
Europe has always been a continent, that has seen major power struggles between the strongest countries and alliances, especially over the past 220 years. I feel that the future mindset needs to change, Europe and Russia needs to move away from reintroducing the second cold war, and seriously consider moving towards NATO, the main reason is that a neutral organisation needs to remain in place that brings all 48 countries together including America, Canada and Turkey into a powerful military union, that would have 11,5 million military personnel (Regular & Reserve) under its control. By doing so the current fear factor especially in the Baltic’s would change, Europe from Iceland right up to the Urals, would for the first time see transparency and major reductions in military forces that can potentially bring long lasting peace. The new alliance can become a force for good that will support the United Nations in promoting world peace, instead of the current us and them thinking that could destroy the fragile peace that all Europeans and Russians have taken for granted over the past thirty years.
Fellow Europeans and Russians,
Personally since I posted my last option, a new NATO is the only way that can bring Europe closer together with Russia, to remove once and for all, past cold war thinking. By accepting Russia into NATO as an equal member, will open up new opportunities in resolving the most sensitive of all issues – nuclear weapons, I feel that a modern version of the START talks could take place, the main difference this time will be for the United Kingdom and France, and hosting members Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Turkey to come to the table as well, and for all nine countries to sign a treaty of intent to reduce the current nuclear arsenal to a more acceptable level that also covers future basing in Europe.
United States – Warheads (deployable 1,600 currently – reduce to 800)
(total 6,450 currently – reduce to 3,225)
Russia – Warheads (deployable 1,600 currently – reduce to 800)
(total 6,490 currently – reduce to 3,225)
France – Warheads (deployable 280 currently – will not deploy operationally)
(total 300 currently – will be dismantled and to destroy stockpile)
United Kingdom – Warheads (deployable 120 currently – will not deploy operationally)
(total 215 currently – will be dismantled and to destroy stockpile)
Host Members – will sign to make their countries nuclear free compliant in the future.
Its long overdue for Europe to be at peace with its self, and work more towards showing the way for other continents to make the world a better place.
Yes, Russia will join NATO , in war with UFO and “any threat” from others outside our planet!