It was supposed to be easy. In 2017, Britain’s trade secretary, Liam Fox, said EU-UK trade negotiations would be the “easiest in human history”. His sentiments were shared by Eurosceptic MP John Redwood, who argued after the referendum that getting out should be “quick and easy” because the UK “holds all the cards”. With 365 days to go until Brexit, things look a bit different.

So far, the negotiations have been gruelling (and the future trade deal is unlikely to be concluded either quickly or easily). Progress was made at the European Council back in December 2017, but many of the fine details – including the seemingly intractable Irish border question – remain fuzzy.

We do, however, have a clearer idea about what Brexit will look like in practice (unless everything falls apart at the last minute). In 366 days, things should carry on pretty much as before. The mooted transition deal will mean that Britain will retain access to the Single Market in the interim. The UK will lose its MEPs and its seat at the European Council, but freedom of movement will continue, and Britain will continue to pay into the EU budget. European vessels will continue to fish in British waters.

In other words, the sky (probably) will not fall in. The doom-mongers of “project fear” evidently overdid it. Brexit has not brought about the apocalypse. Britain remains one of the largest economies in the world (though even the government admits it is sliding down the rankings). Today’s figures from the Office for National Statistics suggest a mixed picture, with continued GDP growth (albeit sluggish), but with weak consumer spending and wage growth.

What happens after the transition deal expires in 2021 is less clear. Will the negotiations finally have been concluded by then? Or will the transition deal be extended to avoid another cliff-edge scenario? And is everyone who voted for Brexit going to be happy with the eventual outcome?

How is Brexit working out? With 365 days to go, is everything still on track? Let us know your thoughts and comments in the form below and we’ll take them to policymakers and experts for their reactions!



129 comments Post a commentcomment

What do YOU think?

    • avatar
      Maria

      Mrs May said on the BBC news today, when we leave the money saved that was going to the EU would fund the N.H.S and Schools. Funny that, it was said at the back end of last year, that this money would be paid at a decreasing level over the next 40 years so where will this money come from ???

  1. avatar
    Panayiotis

    Brexit is a joke, they will never leave EU

    • avatar
      Ivan

      We have already left, just waiting on the politicians and bureaucrats to finish the paperwork :)

    • avatar
      Dave

      We better do or there be trouble 😊

    • avatar
      Thomas

      Are you dreaming lol.

    • avatar
      Panayiotis

      UK should go out of Schengen treaty regarding free move of people but and stay in EU for rest

    • avatar
      Rémi

      UK was never in Schengen’s area…

    • avatar
      Adrian

      …sadly.

  2. avatar
    Gregory

    So, then in a year, they’ve decided in advance, to do nothing. Ok, I mean that’s fine, no one told GB they HAD to go, they came to that themselves. But for all the gum flapping, it’s really quite telling that nothing, is the plan.

    • avatar
      Ivan

      Not funding the antidemocratic EU is the plan comrade. How do you feel about making up the shortfall in the EU’s budget ?

    • avatar
      Gregory

      But that’s not what’s happening, is it? They’re going to continue to fund their portion to the EU comrade.

    • avatar
      Thomas

      £13b short the EU will be getting from Uk..yearly.

    • avatar
      Eugene

      But it’s okay for Scotland to continue to donate to the undemocratic U.K.?

  3. avatar
    Paul

    Parliament voted to trigger article 50…the commons passed the withdrawal bill (currently passing thru the lords).. agreed positions on divorce bill & citizens rights. …agreed transition period…now negotiating trade deal and border (NI & Gib)….these to be agreed in principle for oct/Nov council…for ratification by 02/03 2019.
    Uk to legally leave EU 29/3/2018….still on track

    • avatar
      Ricky

      Here’s hoping as already partially delayed for another 2 years, dude to UK giving ground to the behemoth that’s the EU

    • avatar
      Gregory

      In 366 days, things should carry on pretty much as before. The UK will lose its MEPs and its seat at the European Council, but freedom of movement will continue, and Britain will continue to pay into the EU budget. European vessels will continue to fish in British waters.

    • avatar
      Paul

      Guys….don’t get stuck with the minutae of the negotiations…..yes the transition period will be virtually bau. ..but necessary to allow for smoother disengagement of 40+years of imposed laws and regulation…..the direction of travel and end game is the key….this will be clearer by autumn even if there will no doubt be many further months of details to be defined.

      Of course, it’s still conceivable that a sudden exit with no deal may happen…but increasingly unlikely.

    • avatar
      Vincent

      Ivan the point of keeping freedom of movement is that British people might want to visit France or Spain, for example. You want to lose that right?
      But anyway freedom of movement will continue forever: through Ireland.

    • avatar
      Paul

      Vincent …I lived and worked abroad (in france) prior to Maastricht (4 freedoms)….so have no doubt that will be enabled again didn’t need visas prior to 75 either.

    • avatar
      Ivan

      Vincent Are you seriously saying that Brit’s didn’t live and work in ‘Europe’ before the pointless EU ? It’s your loss if the fools in Brussels enforce it. We will still take your doctors, nurses, etc though :)

  4. avatar
    Giuseppe

    Very easy, as well as very expensive; Liam Fox is definitely a Fox. Ciao

  5. avatar
    Anna

    Being Greek l understand how the Brits feel about the EU and the unelected banksters that govern us but unfortunately we belong to this Europe and Britain is part of this continent.

    • avatar
      Ivan

      Russia, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, etc. are all part of ‘Europe’, do you want them in the EU too ?

    • avatar
      Gregory

      Yeah, they’re all thugs and rapists, right Ivan?

    • avatar
      Ivan

      What ??? lol

    • avatar
      Paul X

      Britain will always be part of Europe……just not part of an arrogant, profligate, elitist, protectionist, cronyist, political bureaucracy

    • avatar
      Joe

      Agree .U.K. is an Island like Malta..so I look and Dream that the whole of Europe will BE ONE STATES….WORK FOR UNITED STATES OF EUROPE….

    • avatar
      Anna

      Ivan since when is Turkey Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan part of Europe? In school as far as l remember they were part of Asia. As for Russia l wouldn’t mind at all as far as l know the bad boys are in Brussels…..

    • avatar
      randomguy2017

      UK and Russia are European.
      This is more to do with EU though.
      Some countries “benefit” and others do not.

      I have friends in UK, Germany, Poland, Italy, Russia.

    • avatar
      Karolina

      Ivan, I wouldn’t mind. I want them in.

    • avatar
      Mitsos

      Are we talking about the European nations from a cultural standpoint or a geographical one here ? EU wise, it’s clearly cultural. How much do we have in common with the nations you mentioned ? Very little if at all, so why even bring it up

  6. avatar
    David

    My view total disester. May not equiped to deal with such a task. Nor is her any of her ministers.

    • avatar
      Gary

      I was speaking to a a remoaner the other day. These people think leavers have changed their views and will change their vote . I wish we could contact all 17,000,000 leavers and ask them if they would change their vote ?

    • avatar
      Charlie

      Gary no I wouldn’t change my mind I’d still vote to leave. (That’s one person you don’t need to contact now)

  7. avatar
    Lulzim

    UK is developed country and with this system I assure that the country will survive without EU as it has been before joining the big family but It can not be justified to left aside the UK because is a part of the EU and belongs there.

    • avatar
      Ivan

      We are leaving the insular EU and rejoining the free world comrade & the sooner you accept it the sooner you can start paying more of your taxes for the dubious honour of being in the pointless EU :)

  8. avatar
    Gregory

    No problem, pay the money you owe, and stop BEGGING for special favors.

    • avatar
      Irene

      You shouldn’t want the EU benefits as well! For example, you want to benefit from some EU educational and scientific programmes like Erasmus and Comenius, which give a lot of money to the UK. Many people attend these courses in the UK, pay fees to British institutions, buy in your shops, go to your restaurants, spend money. But you want to keep the benefits, you want to receive , you just have nothing to give! And you forget that the first reason for the creation of the EU was the preservation of peace in Europe! The EU will survive and all the other member states just have to unite and keep it stronger!

    • avatar
      Gregory

      GB owes 65 BILLION EUROS, and they’re trying to negotiate without PAYING. This is like a restaurant. Pay your bill and LEAVE.

    • avatar
      Gregory

      Pay the money we owe? If it wasn’t for us your mode of transport would still be donkeys!

    • avatar
      Tony

      Gregory Cancryn no we look at the menu first and then pay, so far nobody has given the UK real figures but then again when you haven’t had your accounts signed off that’s not unexpected

    • avatar
      Gregory

      Tony Look, you signed the deal. YOU KNEW what it would cost to exit, you have to be honorable and pay, OR ELSE Stop you delaying and your begging, AND YOUR INSULTS, AND just PAY YOUR OBLIGATIONS.

    • avatar
      Gregory

      Tony Pay the first 50 billion, and the rest will be figured out. And NO CREDIT. With your coming sinking economy, and loss of industries, not limited to banking and finance, YOU’RE NOT GOOD FOR IT

    • avatar
      Tarquin Farquhar

      @Irene
      EU students get paid by the UK to study in the UK and then a disturbing proportion refuse to pay. Erasmus benefits the EU more than the UK and costs the UK too much. You EU beggars need to put your hands into your OWN pockets.

    • avatar
      Tarquin Farquhar

      @Gregory
      LOL!
      Before Brexit the EU said leaving the EU means no single market and no customs union. Brexit happened and May said that she understand the EUs red lines re no single market and no customs union and thus the UK would abide by them.
      Unfortunately, the slippery EU are using the NI-Eire border as a means of keeping the UK in the single market and the customs union.
      Please EU, just go – we don’t fancy, like or love you any more!

    • avatar
      Rémi

      UK will pay nothing, keep cool, you’re f**ked, EU is peace and love, they said…

    • avatar
      Gregory

      I’m an american.

    • avatar
      Paul X

      To owe money you must have received something….so what exactly did we get that cost 65 Billion Euros?

    • avatar
      Paul X

      @ Irene, guess what, post Brexit students can still come to the UK to study and spend their money if they want, the difference is my taxes wont be wasted sponsoring their foreign holiday under Erasmus

      If peace was the “first reason for the creation of the EU” then why was the UK, (as one of the major warring countries in Europe) not in it from the start?…because they knew back then it was more about French and German national interests than European peace

  9. avatar
    Pete

    How can the UK “still be on track” when it hasn’t yet decided which track it wants?

    • avatar
      Ivan

      You really need to stop taking what Brussels and the media are saying as gospel, they are lying to you because they know what’s coming & it ain’t good for the 27 Nations still trapped in the EU.

    • avatar
      Pete

      And what exactly does your empty sloganeering have to do witht he woolliness of May’s chamaeleontic positions about the EU?
      If you want to answer me (nobody obliges you to: the doctor didn’t order it), how about sticking to the point I raised, instead of repeating facile soundbites?

    • avatar
      John

      Pete do explain what EU wants apart from our money.

    • avatar
      Pete

      Oh I should have thought that was perfectly obvious to a trolll like you: a pound of your rotting flesh, of course, no less.
      Will the next red herring please come forward?

    • avatar
      Pete

      Of course I’m insulting you, in response to you all insulting my intelligence by reeling off your usual platitudes, whcih have nothing to do with the point I made.

      When you learn to answer a point wiht a coherent argument, I’d be more thna ready to discuss. But dicussing with you is like discussing with Jehovah’s Witnesses. You have seen the light. Good for you.

      BTW: you will pay what your government agrees to pay. If you don’t like it, take it up with the idiots you elected.

    • avatar
      Paul X

      The majority of people in the UK know exactly what track they want, unfortunately the EU keeps putting obstructions on it, and certain members of the UK political establishment keep trying to put the engine in reverse

    • avatar
      Adrian

      What brexitards don’t get is there is a distinction between what they *WANT* and what the EU will *GIVE* them.

      So of course nut cases like Paul or Ivan will want “cake and eat it”.
      But the EU is not dumb.

    • avatar
      Paul X

      @ Adrian, considering the UK has been net “giving” to the EU for over 40 years means whatever cake we want has certainly been paid for many times over

  10. avatar
    Anton

    And who are the politicians who campaign to leave the EU?

  11. avatar
    Seán

    So…365 days left for Scots to get independence and remain EU citizens instead of British subjects #SNP #UnitedIrelandUnitedEuropeNotUnitedKingdom

    • avatar
      Glenn

      British citizen’s , please

    • avatar
      Seán

      Scottish&EU citizens is what they want to be #SNP #IrelandLovesScotland

    • avatar
      Matthew

      Yeah that’s why the SNP lost lots of seats at the last election.

    • avatar
      John

      I’m Scottish don’t think you should say what we want,As being a thick mick stick to the simple things in life,Like most Irish do.

    • avatar
      Leslie

      Seán Did the Scottish people interfere in your elections when you chose to leave the EU and then changed your mind and stayed?
      Why don’t you concentrate in resolving the Irish border issue, and leave as Scots to sort out our own problems. Getting rid of the SNP will be a good start.

    • avatar
      Ivan

      Seán Please explain how Scotland could be independent in the EU when the whole point of the EU is ‘not’ to be independent ?

    • avatar
      John

      Sort your country out what is basicaly bankrupt you will need a passport

    • avatar
      Paul X

      A majority of people living in Scotland voted for the UK to remain in the EU……..despite all the SNP rhetoric, that does not automatically mean that same majority want to remain in the EU in an independent Scotland

  12. avatar
    Paul

    Same Laws same rules same open borders, Spot the difference!

  13. avatar
    Jerzy

    The EU must go back to a level of integration acceptable by all countries.

  14. avatar
    Glenn

    The tracks are still there, it’s the train and wagons which haven’t left the sidings yet

  15. avatar
    Paul X

    Despite the best efforts of the elitist political establishment, the democratic will of the majority of British people is still progressing

    • avatar
      Adrian

      you mean the 37%”majority”

    • avatar
      Paul X

      37% of the eligible vote is a significant proportion considering the EPP lords over your beloved European Parliament having got only 12% of the available EU vote

  16. avatar
    Alan

    A United Ireland is definitely on the cards. IRL32 .

    • avatar
      Costas

      I will drink to that

    • avatar
      Michael

      Ireland 🇮🇪 won’t leave EU . 100 years on from treaty we Ireland can’t afford to take over Northern Ireland, we can barely look after our own. 10,000 homeless , 4,000 of these are kids living in hotel rooms. Let the British hold on to NI , just demolish the border. 🇮🇪

  17. avatar
    David

    I think she is doing a credible job despite a patronising attitude from the EU and attacks from both remainers and leavers at home.

  18. avatar
    Terry

    It’s never been on track, the only thing that has happened is that we have “Railroaded “ into a vast sum of money, no boarder control, no Fisheries, no self law making.

    • avatar
      Ivan

      lol

  19. avatar
    Andrew

    If the worse comes to the worse and Britain does finally leave the EU, presumably it will leave Michel Barnier at a bit of a loose end. I suggest that Britain hires him to negotiate all these trade agreements that will be needed. Clearly he understands that sort of thing, so unlike David Davis and Liam Fox.

    • avatar
      Paul

      Andrew. ..is no secret, he wants Junker’s job.

  20. avatar
    Sita

    Άντε με το καλό και.μη μας γραψετε!
    Go with the good and. Don’t let us down!

  21. avatar
    Max

    On track? Having fooled a fair proportion of the populace the far right were not clever enough to follow through so we now look ridiculous in the eyes of the world.
    Brexit ears are deaf to reason. The ayes voting for it were blind.

    • avatar
      Max

      Ivan none of us got the result we wanted, note what the Japanese said today.
      UK was usefu to access the EU but if we dont have free trade and customs union, post brexit they will reconsider.
      Brexit will allow corporations to avoid incoming EU regs requiring tax to be paid in the countries of operation rather than spurious registration thus deying much needed funds for the NHS.
      I have to call your patriotism into question if you are so intent on damaging the prosperity of the UK and freedom of the people.
      I don’t bame you for being taken in by the propaganda in the early stages but as the facts reveal themselves the mature position is to admit the mistake and back the interests of the UK.

  22. avatar
    randomguy2017

    I wish the Brits luck on their Brexit. If I was British I would vote for the exit.
    Not a fan of their elites but many normal humans there.

    I think business should be done between Anglo-American and Europe and Russia.

    And finally Anglo countries (several of them) need to let Europe countries be Europe.
    Europe needs to let Anglo countries be Anglo countries.

  23. avatar
    Wendy

    There are still those who will try to stop it. But they will never win because Brexiteers are fighting for freedom and we will never surrender. We will break the chains and then there will be a reckoning. EU bullying has won only our contempt and those who fought on their side will pay a heavy political price for their treason.

    • avatar
      Gregory

      There are many ruthless dead dictators who would welcome you into their club.

    • avatar
      Wendy

      Like the ones you Europeans love so much? We don’t need lessons about dictators from the Spanish. If you want to suppress the Catalans why not just elect another Franco?

  24. avatar
    Karolina

    Oh, not another Brexit debate… Just an opportunity for the same 3-4 Brextards to produce the same stale rubbish out of a can.

    • avatar
      Tarquin Farquhar

      @Karolina
      LOL!
      Your repeated Bremainiac postings appear to indicate otherwise!

    • avatar
      Adrian

      Here comes Paul, Tarquin and Christine to tell us how we are all stalinists and EUSSRists and they are the kingdom of heaven and Farage is the god emperor or something like that.

      Ooops, Tarquin already here trolling hard :D

  25. avatar
    Karolina

    Nobody cares… Let’s be honest.

  26. avatar
    Peter

    Руснаците отровиха Брексит, вече не е кеф.
    The Russians have poisoned Brexit, it’s no longer fun.

  27. avatar
    Alzira

    One thing I see is no one bothers with the foot print caused by having to do business with America and Asia. In the Second World War Europe got together to win. If war happens again who does England join?

    • avatar
      Anonymous

      Of course, in the event of another war, England will single handedly give the baddies a good thrashing and save the world, just like they have in every other war (allegedly).

  28. avatar
    Gary

    This money we owe the EU. Does it include grants for businesses like Bakkavar and these veg plants in and around Boston ? Do we brits have to pay for these companies ?

  29. avatar
    Ross

    What has the EU ever given the UK money wise. If nothing. Then why after giving millions, should it pay to exit the EU it owes nothing.

    • avatar
      Andy

      You just show how ignorant you are with this comment…

    • avatar
      Béla

      If you buy an iPhone and sign a contract for 2 years, can you just stop paying because you changed your mind?
      Your divorce someone, but have a mortgage together, can you simply walk out?
      That money is about already existing agreements. Thousands of tiny little contracts, projects that already exist…

  30. avatar
    catherine benning

    365 days until Britain leaves: Is Brexit still on track?

    Now it can be openly discussed, Brexit is so popular. Far more than when it was when suppressed. I wonder why that is?

    In fact it is so openly backed by all and sundry now, the opposition to it are hysterical. They are spending a fortune trying to buy ‘blockage’ that is costing them a pretty packet.

    Why do you think they are doing that folks? Could it be they will lose their European pay packet once we are completely free of EU domination? From what I have been able to follow, much of our UK government, in one form or another, are getting paid a fair packet to go along with the subjugation of our people by the EU. How much of your tax money do you think is being spent on those who lead your State? Done in order to keep them subjugating you.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5560819/Freelance-demonstrators-protesting-against-Brexit-paid.html

    And, are you happy with that? Should they be exposed for doing it?

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2899179/brexit-bashing-lords-receive-500k-in-eu-pensions-a-year-and-arent-allowed-to-criticise-brussels-but-wont-say-so-in-brexit-debate/

    And of course the Iraq war propeller is so far up to his neck in it, he’s suffering terrible withdrawal symptoms as he can’t stand playing a remain advocate hid in the wings. Despised as he is. This old poster of him was so on key. Those who came up with it should have got far more applause.

    https://shop.conservatives.com/products/new-labour-new-danger-coaster?variant=30207845380

    • avatar
      Adrian

      You forgot to quote Breitbart and Stormfront.
      I mean while you’re using that level of “sources”.

  31. avatar
    Luca

    Everyone believes in the future of an united Europe is looking forwards to see UK out of EU as soon as possible

    • avatar
      Adrian

      This.
      Let the UK go already ( with no deal whatsoever but WTO rules ).
      And let’s get out Union in order now that we got rid of the trojan horse of the americans.

  32. avatar
    Paul X

    But what most people like you choose to ignore is that the EU wants the WTO outcome even less than the UK does

  33. avatar
    jthk

    Two years ago, when the British voted for BREXIT, the world is not unpredictable as today. The UK has already passed its best moment. What the UK facing now is not refugees but trade war, hot war, a new round of cold war, and a crazy and powerful ally, the UK. Japan has already given up its hope on the America and signed a trade deal with the EU. It is foreseeable that the UK has a long way to negotiate with all important economies alone in a very unfavourable condition. It is irresponsible if government is still blindly executing the referendum two years ago when so many unpredictable problems are arising and when the global political economy are undergoing very drastic and dramatic changes.

Your email will not be published

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Notify me of new comments. You can also subscribe without commenting.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

More debate series – Brexit – Britain’s place in Europe View all

By continuing to use this website, you consent to the use of cookies on your device as described in our Privacy Policy unless you have disabled them. You can change your cookie settings at any time but parts of our site will not function correctly without them.