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What’s at stake at the upcoming UN climate summit in Paris? Will a global legally-binding agreement be enough to prevent catastrophic warming? What happens if the summit fails to meet expectations? And, even if it is deemed to be a success, how can we guarantee that the agreed action is actually implemented? How will the world finance its transition to a low-carbon economy?

On 15 October 2015, our partner think-tank Friends of Europe held their 12th annual Climate and Energy Policy Summit in Brussels. Debating Europe was there, and we put your questions to some of the participants, including EU and national policymakers, senior officials from international organisations, business representatives, NGO leaders, experts from the academic world and members of the international press from Brussels and throughout Europe.

On the road to Paris 2015, Debating Europe, in partnership with Friends of Europe, will be inviting policymakers and experts to respond to YOUR questions on climate change as part of a series of debates.

Do you need some of the facts about the numbers involved? We’ve collected information on the climate pledges made by China, the United States, and the European Union in the infographic below (click for a bigger image):
Climate-INDC

We had a comment sent in by Gonçalo, wondering whether the necessary measures and agreements to mitigate climate change will be achieved in time. Will a legally-binding agreement in Paris be enough to tackle climate change?

To get a response, we spoke to Dr James Hansen, adjunct professor in the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at Columbia University and former Head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (1981-2013). How would he respond to Gonçalo?

We also had a comment sent in by Suitboy, arguing that humanity has to adapt, not because it is beyond our control to slow down or halt climate change, but because: “Change is inevitable and already happening due to historic human emissions of greenhouse gases”.

How would Dr James Hansen react?

We also had a comment from Limbidis, who echoed Dr. Hansen’s concerns about the transition to clean energy in the developing world. In particular, Limbidis argued that China’s growing economy will need more and more energy, which will lead them to burn more oil, gas, coal, etc. Will they will be able to make the switch?

To get an answer, we spoke to Alina Averchenkova, Co-Head of Policy at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment. Here’s what she had to say:

AverchenkovaThe Chinese government recently changed their position on this issue quite fundamentally. So, I think in China it is now a very clear political priority to switch from a heavily coal-based energy sector and economy to an economy where a greater share is given to natural gas and renewables. This is not only for climate change reasons, but also because of local pollution and related public health concerns, and also for reasons of energy security. So, to that extent, the Chinese 5-year plan already includes a committment to switch to a clean energy balance and reduce the share of coal, and practical measures are being put in place.

Having said that, it will be a challenge and it’s not going to be easy for China, but I think Chinese policymakers recognise that. All of the ingredients for making it happen are there, and because of the way the Chinese governance system works, if you have committment at the top it usually is chanelled down through the agencies and economic actors.

What happens if the Paris climate talks fail? Is it too late to prevent climate change, and should we instead be trying to adapt? Let us know your thoughts and comments in the form below, and we’ll take them to policymakers and experts for their reactions!



29 comments Post a commentcomment

What do YOU think?

  1. avatar
    Nando Aidos

    Legally binding to what or whose system of law?
    No, it is not too late. If we listen to those who have been studying the phenomena for decades.

  2. avatar
    Igor Karlić

    Climate change cant be changed whatever we do. But we can stop wasting other people’s money and adopt to the change. We are going to die till year 2015 due to climate change anyway. Give me a break with your false propaganda.

  3. avatar
    Xavier Schoumaker

    I love how some people still question 99.5% of the scientific community with no facts or knowledge. I mean, read the pathetic comments…

  4. avatar
    Matteo Lattanzi

    “Enough” does not even make sense. a legally-binding agreement will not tackle c.c. It can only limit damages

  5. avatar
    Matej Zaggy Zagorc

    You can’t change climate change. It’s a natural process, damn it. We’re just speeding it up due to high levels of greenhouse gases, if anything.

  6. avatar
    Igor Karlich

    I have feeling, which tells me; someone is cornered by its own lies and promises which cannot be kept. So now we must find a convenient excuse to cover inconvenient fact that half year old promises to reduce CO2 emissions made by the EU by 25% till 2025 are nothing else but fantasy. Show for the naive. But of course, those who pointed this up are bad guys. Not the one who made this false promises to suit its own political profit. Are we to late? Should we act at all? We could, buy why, if we are too late. Im not so green to believe this “noble” cause.

  7. avatar
    Rui Duarte

    No likely. These supposedly «climate summits» really debate «how to justifify more taxes on those who can’t avoid them». Now, I’am not against taxes: I am pro taxes.. but even taxes should be honest: we should know what we pay taxes for. Carbon taxes, bag taxes and the such are really a scam to reap-off honest well-intentioned tax payers.

    • avatar
      Adrian Limbidis

      “Justify” VAT tax please.
      A tax on SPECIFICALLY poor people.
      I dare you to “justify” it.

  8. avatar
    Rui Duarte

    It’s never too late to adress problems seriously.. but the best time to plant a tree is always 20 yeears ago…

  9. avatar
    Mike Oxlittle

    The Paris summit will just be a useless talking shop.Remember politicians have never solved any of the worlds problems scientists have.It was men like Joseph Lister,Edward Jenner and Louis Pasteur that helped cure the great diseases that ravaged mankind,not politicians.And I feel sure that sometime in the future scientists will find a way of combating global warming.

  10. avatar
    Lesley Miller

    First it was Global Warming and then when they could no longer lie about that, they changed it to Climate Change – this is nothing more than a lie to bring in a globalist agenda

  11. avatar
    J M Perz Gnlz

    Is there any big corporation who prefer to care about climate change instead of caring about profits?

    • avatar
      Adrian Limbidis

      The problem is not lol..cars.
      CHINA AND INDIA amount to 80% of polluters.
      And industry is the problem!

  12. avatar
    Nando Aidos

    The experts on the matter say we still have time but we have to take serious action NOW!

  13. avatar
    Alexander Supertramp

    Regardless if the talks fail or succeed, the real change that needs to be done is within the global economy not global politics. The fossil fuel based economy is the problem, and the solution is the creation of the new economy without fossil fuels. The two, politics and economy, are not bind together, while there are political borders there are no economical borders (same as the global warming problem, its borderless, co2 molecules don’t have passports to enter another country airspace…). So the real solution would be the creation of an economic system that is rapidly lowering carbon emissions. Politicians can’t and won’t do that. Its economists that can design and make it possible. What happened at the beginning of the industrial revolution that sparked the change of human behavior to become larger and larger carbon emitters? a hint – Henry Ford happened. What did he created? He created a system of consumer behavior… the ever expanding consumption of energy and materials for the common human. He was a entrepreneur for the 20th century, not a politician. We need a Henry Ford type entrepreneurs for the 21st century, that will create a system of simplifying behavior. The simplification of needs for the common human…. And the world will live happily ever after…

  14. avatar
    Rui Correia

    Oh joy… this is ridiculous!… After the events in Paris just hours ago, this “Debate Europe” page posts this, about… oooh, climate change?? Now that’s very urgent indeed… for sure! (sarcasm) I believe we could discuss that later, as it’s a long-term subject, please learn to prioritise – If you want to debate something for the long-term, let’s start debating imediate security policies to be implemented, for example, putting an end to that stupid Schengen agreement, restoring border controls and detailed checks between all European countries (for Europeans’ security) – the Europeans don’t really need the Schengen agreement to move in Europe, and it’s only used by Non-Europeans for all kinds of abuse… And please… no “refugee quotas”… the EU should not overrun small nations… Ms. Merkel invited them, let her have them in her own backyard :-( I’m sorry

  15. avatar
    Ben Higgins

    I do not belive that Paris will produce any worthwhile agreement at all. Humans are too fractious even when it comes to dicusssing the probable extinguishment of 90% of life on Earth we try to dodge responsibility and duck for cover, preferring to think about the short term. The responses In this column prove my point.

    Either we have a breakthrough in energy generation technology that enables us to save ourselves (very very unlikely) or humanity will continue its obsession with economics rather than the ecology. I believe its the latter. A Malthusian correction is on its way I’m afraid…

  16. avatar
    Elle Wilky

    What’s the use of having climate change talks when the allies against Daesh are bombing oil supplies in the Middle East and sending all of that thick, black, smoke into the air?

  17. avatar
    Oli Lau

    well a success for me would be all politicians go back to home unable to vote for new taxes, new regulations and another layer of administrations.

    A failure would be the exact opposite.

    Hopefully it looks like a success is the likely outcome, so don’t despair.

  18. avatar
    Borislav Valkov

    I believe that they are failing. They are caught up in fighting the aftermath that they do not see that the technology is responsible for the climate change and it is what will solve the climate change. Invest in new greener technologies and make them more compatible and cheap.

  19. avatar
    Philip Morgan

    Hi. The world will continue and life will go on. Thanks.

  20. avatar
    Marc Cheyne

    World leaders agreed on the Antarctic Treaty in the 1950s, to safeguard the Antarctic. Can they not agree on an Amazon Rainforest Treaty today? Halting deforestation in the Amazon is the only practical solution to halt global warming. Just buy the Amazon rainforest, and make it a world heritage resource!

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